The School of Odds
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Norfolk Tides v Worcester Red Sox

2026-07-31 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 41.87%2.39fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%41.81%41.86%42.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.232.242.3045.87%44.84%44.74%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 58.13%1.72fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -3.22%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.37%58.19%58.14%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.621.621.6362.50%61.78%61.73%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norfolk Tides (Local): 41.87%; Worcester Red Sox (Visit): 58.13%. For Norfolk Tides (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -3.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 15:22
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 15:15
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.25%E -3.22%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:14
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 15:29
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.63%E -2.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 15:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 15:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:26
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.73%E -4.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.