The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Norfolk Tides v Worcester Red Sox

2026-08-01 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.00%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.861.871.8954.64%53.70%53.48%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.00%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.861.871.8954.64%53.70%53.48%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norfolk Tides (Local): 50.00%; Worcester Red Sox (Visit): 50.00%. For Norfolk Tides (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.89, with an expected value of -5.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 12:24
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 12:25
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:00
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:09
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 14:35
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 12:34
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 12:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.