Norfolk Tides v Syracuse Mets

2026-07-09 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 40.46%2.47fair odd

EV -2.89%

Edge -1.20%

Kelly -2.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.85%40.48%40.41%41.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.272.322.302.4044%43%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 59.54%1.68fair odd

EV -4.14%

Edge -2.57%

Kelly -6.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.82%59.52%59.59%60.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.561.581.591.6164%63%63%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.89%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-09 15:06
FanDuel	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.32%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.13%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-09 15:24
theScore Bet	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-09 15:05
Bovada	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-09 16:33
BetRivers	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.12%E -4.56%K -12.72%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-09 16:54
1xBet	2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -8.15%E -3.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-09 15:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.