Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides v Syracuse Mets

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 40.69%2.46fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.62%40.66%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.302.4044.44%43.26%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 59.31%1.69fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -7.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%59.38%59.34%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.591.591.6163.69%63.06%62.89%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.34%E -0.976%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 15:06
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.29%E -3.98%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.60%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 15:24
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 15:05
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:33
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -7.63%E -3.36%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-09 15:29
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.45%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.