Norfolk Tides v Syracuse Mets

2026-07-11 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

42%

58%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd

EV -4.05%

Edge -1.76%

Kelly -3.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.10%41.67%41.86%42.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.182.242.242.3046%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 58.28%1.72fair odd

EV -5.00%

Edge -3.07%

Kelly -7.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.37%58.33%58.14%58.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.571.611.621.6364%62%62%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-11 11:41
theScore Bet	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.13%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 11:24
BetRivers	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.13%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.50%E -5.41%K -14.91%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-11 13:45
FanDuel	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.55%E -2.92%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.00%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-11 11:24
BetOnline.ag	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.55%E -2.92%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-11 11:54
William Hill	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-11 11:44
1xBet	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-11 11:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.