The School of Odds

Norfolk Tides v Syracuse Mets

2026-07-10 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.41%41.54%41.86%42.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.182.242.242.3046%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 58.28%1.72fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -7.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.37%58.46%58.14%59.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.621.6364%62%62%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 15:35
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.08%E -5.82%K -16.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 15:44
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.13%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:29
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.55%E -2.92%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.00%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 15:30
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.55%E -2.92%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 15:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 16:14
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.