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Norfolk Tides v Nashville Sounds

2026-08-21 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 41.13%2.43fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.912%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%41.02%41.24%42.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.292.282.4044.44%43.60%43.86%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Sounds (Visit)

Prediction 58.87%1.70fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.91%58.98%58.76%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.601.6563.69%62.24%62.31%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norfolk Tides (Local): 41.13%; Nashville Sounds (Visit): 58.87%. For Norfolk Tides (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -1.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.28%E -0.532%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.40%E -4.03%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.21%E -2.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.23%E -3.25%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 13:10
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.21%E -2.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.82%E -3.63%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 11:54
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.21%E -2.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.58%E -4.83%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 13:59
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.62%E -2.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -2.87%E -1.74%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 12:10
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.64%E -2.86%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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