The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Norfolk Tides v Memphis Redbirds

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV +6.82%
Edge +2.73%
Kelly +4.54%
Growth +0.310%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%42.89%43.99%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.202.202.5051.28%45.36%45.45%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 57.27%1.75fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +1.72%
Kelly +3.87%
Growth +0.120%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%57.11%56.01%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.641.621.8066.23%60.98%61.73%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norfolk Tides (Local): 42.73%; Memphis Redbirds (Visit): 57.27%. For Norfolk Tides (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +6.82%E +2.73%K +4.54%G +0.310%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -10.65%E -6.83%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 21:59
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV +2.54%E +1.06%K +1.82%G +0.046%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -13.52%E -8.95%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 15:19
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.22%E -4.45%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 22:00
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.22%E -4.45%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 22:10
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.57%E -4.00%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-10 22:09
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -16.68%E -8.56%K -17.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +3.09%E +1.72%K +3.87%G +0.120%6.8%2026-06-10 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.