The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Norfolk Tides v Memphis Redbirds

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 37.54%2.66fair odd
EV -0.519%
Edge -0.196%
Kelly -0.314%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%38.75%37.47%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.442.502.6547.85%41.06%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 62.46%1.60fair odd
EV +6.81%
Edge +3.98%
Kelly +9.59%
Growth +0.653%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%61.25%62.53%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.521.7167.57%64.87%65.79%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norfolk Tides (Local): 37.54%; Memphis Redbirds (Visit): 62.46%. For Memphis Redbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -21.54%E -10.31%K -19.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV +6.81%E +3.98%K +9.59%G +0.653%6.3%2026-06-13 22:30
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.81%E -2.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-13 16:13
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 13:10
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -10.28%E -4.30%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 13:30
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.40%E -2.14%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.69%E -3.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 22:30
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.519%E -0.196%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 22:29
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.