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Norfolk Tides v Gwinnett Stripers

2026-08-15 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 40.53%2.47fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.52%40.49%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.312.4044.44%43.20%43.29%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 59.47%1.68fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.27%59.48%59.51%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.591.591.6464.52%62.89%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norfolk Tides (Local): 40.53%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 59.47%. For Gwinnett Stripers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.64, with an expected value of -2.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.73%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.44%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:12
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.97%E -2.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.44%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 17:10
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.97%E -2.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 18:19
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:59
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.44%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:28
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -7.19%E -3.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -2.47%E -1.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:14
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.81%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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