Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides v Gwinnett Stripers

2026-08-11 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd

EV -4.41%

Edge -1.84%

Kelly -3.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.39%40.04%39.95%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.352.342.4043.48%42.64%42.74%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd

EV -2.53%

Edge -1.56%

Kelly -4.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.67%59.96%60.05%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.551.571.561.6264.52%63.69%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norfolk Tides (Local): 39.83%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 60.17%. For Gwinnett Stripers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -2.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-11 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-11 14:49
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-11 14:35
BetRivers🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-11 14:54
Caesars🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-11 16:12
1xBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-11 14:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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