Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides v Durham Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk Tides (Local)

Prediction 51.46%1.94fair odd

EV -5.83%

Edge -3.19%

Kelly -7.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.46%51.46%51.46%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.691.741.701.8359.17%57.47%58.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 48.54%2.06fair odd

EV +1.94%

Edge +0.922%

Kelly +1.76%

Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.59%48.54%48.54%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.942.032.062.1051.55%49.18%48.54%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norfolk Tides (Local): 51.46%; Durham Bulls (Visit): 48.54%. For Durham Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -13.03%E -7.71%K -18.89%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +1.94%E +0.922%K +1.76%G +0.034%	6.8%	2026-06-24 21:48
1xBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -12.52%E -7.36%K -17.89%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-24 21:40
FanDuel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.02%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.83%E -3.01%K -6.20%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-24 21:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.