The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nashville Sounds v Worcester Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Sounds (Local)

Prediction 39.88%2.51fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%40.29%39.85%43.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.352.372.4646.08%42.60%42.28%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 60.12%1.66fair odd
EV +0.402%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.51%59.71%60.15%61.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.561.6765.36%63.75%64.31%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Sounds (Local): 39.88%; Worcester Red Sox (Visit): 60.12%. For Worcester Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.402%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -13.46%E -6.20%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV +0.402%E +0.240%K +0.599%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-14 22:45
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:43
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:45
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -9.47%E -4.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 22:19
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 19:22
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -1.90%E -0.771%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -8.02%E -5.24%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 19:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.09%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.02%E -5.24%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 21:14
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.02%E -5.24%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.