The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nashville Sounds v Gwinnett Stripers

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Sounds (Local)

Prediction 63.79%1.57fair odd
EV -0.486%
Edge -0.311%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%63.76%63.73%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.501.481.5668.03%66.60%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 36.21%2.76fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%36.24%36.27%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.532.602.7042.74%39.48%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Sounds (Local): 63.79%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 36.21%. For Nashville Sounds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -0.486%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.486%E -0.311%K -0.867%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.91%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 22:48
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -1.76%E -1.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.69%EV -15.27%E -6.53%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.31%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.86%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:29
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.24%E -0.828%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.86%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 22:29
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.48%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.