The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Nashville Sounds v Durham Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-06-11 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Sounds (Local)

Prediction 61.16%1.64fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%61.23%61.07%63.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.511.5968.03%65.45%66.23%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 38.84%2.57fair odd
EV -0.957%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.618%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.57%38.77%38.93%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.442.442.5543.10%40.98%40.98%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Sounds (Local): 61.16%; Durham Bulls (Visit): 38.84%. For Durham Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.957%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.76%E -1.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 20:27
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -2.76%E -1.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -9.89%E -4.26%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 20:30
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.84%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.65%E -5.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.90%E -1.16%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 20:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.90%E -1.16%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 15:09
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.07%EV -5.23%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-11 15:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.78%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-11 20:39
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -0.957%E -0.375%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-11 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.