The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nashville Sounds v Durham Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-06-12 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Sounds (Local)

Prediction 59.80%1.67fair odd
EV +7.04%
Edge +3.93%
Kelly +8.91%
Growth +0.628%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.27%59.30%58.94%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.561.531.7969.44%64.19%65.36%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV +4.52%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +2.83%
Growth +0.128%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%40.70%41.06%47.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.382.502.6051.02%41.94%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Sounds (Local): 59.80%; Durham Bulls (Visit): 40.20%. For Nashville Sounds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV +7.04%E +3.93%K +8.91%G +0.628%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -21.21%E -10.82%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 23:30
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 23:29
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.51%E +0.985%K +1.62%G +0.041%4.6%2026-06-12 23:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.501%E +0.200%K +0.334%G +0.002%6.7%2026-06-12 15:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.501%E +0.200%K +0.334%G +0.002%6.7%2026-06-12 16:47
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.50%E -7.77%K -23.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.501%E +0.200%K +0.334%G +0.002%7.6%2026-06-12 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -13.89%E -9.64%K -31.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +4.52%E +1.74%K +2.83%G +0.128%7.9%2026-06-12 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.