The School of Odds
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Memphis Redbirds v Nashville Sounds

2026-08-06 23:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Redbirds (Local)

Prediction 46.52%2.15fair odd
EV +4.21%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +3.39%
Growth +0.143%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%46.12%46.70%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.981.962.2453.76%50.51%51.15%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Sounds (Visit)

Prediction 53.48%1.87fair odd
EV +0.007%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.007%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.88%53.30%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.781.791.8761.73%56.14%56.02%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Memphis Redbirds (Local): 46.52%; Nashville Sounds (Visit): 53.48%. For Memphis Redbirds (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.24, producing a positive expected value of +4.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV +4.21%E +1.88%K +3.39%G +0.143%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -13.36%E -8.25%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 18:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.95%E -3.99%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:53
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.03%E -2.98%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.34%E -3.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.34%E -3.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 18:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.74%E -2.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -12.08%E -6.39%K -13.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -2.67%E -1.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 18:50
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.01%E -6.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.003%K +0.007%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 12:35
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -13.47%E -7.24%K -15.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -0.528%E -0.284%K -0.614%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (3 combinations) +1.92%BetOnline.ag 2.24 (45.5%) / Bovada 1.87 (54.5%)Show all 3 combinations
Memphis Redbirds (Local)Nashville Sounds (Visit)Margin
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.24 (45.5%)Bovada🎯 1.87 (54.5%)+1.92%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.24 (45.4%)1xBet🎯 1.86 (54.6%)+1.62%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.24 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 1.82 (55.2%)+0.414%