The School of Odds
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Memphis Redbirds v Nashville Sounds

2026-08-08 00:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Redbirds (Local)

Prediction 54.71%1.83fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%54.66%54.67%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.731.731.8058.82%57.68%57.64%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Sounds (Visit)

Prediction 45.29%2.21fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%45.34%45.33%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1052.36%48.93%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Memphis Redbirds (Local): 54.71%; Nashville Sounds (Visit): 45.29%. For Memphis Redbirds (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -1.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.53%E -0.850%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.49%E -7.06%K -14.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.81%E -2.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.79%E -2.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.81%E -2.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 15:50
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.81%E -2.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 15:53
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.51%E -4.21%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 17:25
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 15:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.33%E -2.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.