The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Memphis Redbirds v Iowa Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Redbirds (Local)

Prediction 57.03%1.75fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -7.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.12%57.01%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.651.661.6762.11%60.56%60.24%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 42.97%2.33fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%42.88%42.99%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.202.2147.62%46.03%45.45%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Redbirds (Local): 57.03%; Iowa Cubs (Visit): 42.97%. For Memphis Redbirds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -4.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:29
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 20:08
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.33%E -3.21%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 15:34
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -5.33%E -3.21%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.91%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.90%E -3.57%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.04%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 15:34
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.61%E -4.70%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.18%E -5.08%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.