The School of Odds

Memphis Redbirds v Durham Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Memphis Redbirds (Local)

Prediction 56.34%1.77fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -6.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.34%56.27%56.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.631.671.671.6961.35%59.92%59.88%59.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 43.66%2.29fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.01%43.66%43.73%44.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.142.152.2047.62%46.68%46.51%45.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 13:40
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 13:40
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:39
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -7.88%E -3.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 15:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 13:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 15:05
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -8.16%E -5.01%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.