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Louisville Bats v Toledo Mud Hens

2026-08-15 23:15 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 52.99%1.89fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.74%52.98%53.00%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.8157.47%56.50%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 47.01%2.13fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -4.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.02%47.00%47.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0251.28%50.19%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Louisville Bats (Local): 52.99%; Toledo Mud Hens (Visit): 47.01%. For Louisville Bats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.81, with an expected value of -4.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.67%E -3.19%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:59
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:02
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:28
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.26%E -4.15%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.79%E -4.48%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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