The School of Odds

Louisville Bats v St. Paul Saints

2026-07-19 00:07 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.00%50.00%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.851.841.8955%54%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

St. Paul Saints (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.00%50.00%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.851.841.8955%54%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 15:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 16:14
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 15:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.