The School of Odds

Louisville Bats v Omaha Storm Chasers

2026-07-10 23:15 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -5.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.01%54.87%55.12%55.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.711.711.7459%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%45.13%44.88%45.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.022.072.092.1050%48%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 16:14
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 15:44
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:29
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.11%E -2.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:44
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.46%E -3.62%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.