Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats v Omaha Storm Chasers

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 55.04%1.82fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -5.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.15%55.12%56.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7460.98%58.65%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 44.96%2.22fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%44.85%44.88%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.082.082.1448.78%48.05%48.08%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:24
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 16:33
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 22:25
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.43%E -3.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 21:59
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.98%E -4.13%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 19:54
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -9.73%E -5.93%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-09 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.