The School of Odds

Louisville Bats v Omaha Storm Chasers

2026-07-09 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%54.97%55.06%55.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.691.711.711.7459%59%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%45.03%44.94%45.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.082.082.1049%48%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 16:33
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:06
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.98%E -2.86%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.33%E -3.56%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 15:29
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:54
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.