The School of Odds

Louisville Bats v Omaha Storm Chasers

2026-07-11 23:15 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 55.12%1.81fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -8.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.40%55.18%55.12%55.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.701.711.7160%59%58%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%44.82%44.88%45.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.042.082.102.1049%48%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:39
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:41
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.20%E -2.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:54
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.44%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:44
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.40%E -4.41%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.