Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats v Omaha Storm Chasers

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.87%54.07%54.09%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.741.741.7558.14%57.57%57.47%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%45.93%45.91%46.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.042.052.0649.50%48.95%48.78%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 16:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 16:49
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 16:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 18:15
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 17:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.