Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats v Iowa Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 57.36%1.74fair odd

EV -4.20%

Edge -2.52%

Kelly -6.27%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.51%57.34%57.36%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.611.641.631.6762.11%61.10%61.54%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 42.64%2.35fair odd

EV -4.07%

Edge -1.81%

Kelly -3.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.86%42.66%42.64%43.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.172.212.202.2546.08%45.25%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Bats (Local): 57.36%; Iowa Cubs (Visit): 42.64%. For Iowa Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -4.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-14 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -7.48%E -3.45%K -6.39%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-14 16:20
FanDuel🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.50%E -3.99%K -10.31%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.50%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-14 13:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.07%E -4.36%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-14 13:30
Bovada🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.07%E -4.36%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-14 14:07
1xBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.64%E -4.75%K -12.53%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-14 13:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.