Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats v Gwinnett Stripers

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

49%

51%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 49.26%2.03fair odd

EV +1.98%

Edge +0.955%

Kelly +1.85%

Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.09%49.20%49.27%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.771.931.912.0756.50%51.91%52.36%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 50.74%1.97fair odd

EV +1.47%

Edge +0.735%

Kelly +1.47%

Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.95%50.80%50.73%54.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.831.832.0058.82%54.53%54.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Bats (Local): 49.26%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 50.74%. For Louisville Bats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +1.98%E +0.955%K +1.85%G +0.037%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.24%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-29 18:55
BetRivers🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV +1.98%E +0.955%K +1.85%G +0.037%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -13.75%E -8.09%K -19.64%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-29 16:50
FanDuel🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.43%E -2.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.15%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 20:54
Bovada🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.15%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-29 20:55
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.68%E -4.82%K -10.85%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-29 20:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.89%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-29 21:00
Caesars🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.89%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-29 21:37
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -12.80%E -7.23%K -16.63%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +1.47%E +0.735%K +1.47%G +0.022%	6.5%	2026-08-29 20:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.