Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats v Gwinnett Stripers

2026-08-28 23:15 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Bats (Local)

Prediction 39.98%2.50fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.04%39.95%41.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.352.352.4043.48%42.55%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 60.02%1.67fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.99%59.96%60.05%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.581.571.6264.10%63.41%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Louisville Bats (Local): 39.98%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 60.02%. For Gwinnett Stripers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -2.77%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.57%E -2.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 15:37
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.64%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.64%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 15:35
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 15:35
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.37%E -4.09%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 17:30
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.84%E -2.94%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 15:50
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.37%E -4.09%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.