The School of Odds
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Lehigh Valley IronPigs v Rochester Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-06-02 22:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local)

Prediction 47.64%2.10fair odd
EV +0.044%
Edge +0.021%
Kelly +0.040%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%47.79%47.05%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.992.002.1054.64%50.22%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 52.36%1.91fair odd
EV +0.007%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.21%52.95%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.741.9159.17%56.68%57.47%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local): 47.64%; Rochester Red Wings (Visit): 52.36%. For Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.099. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.044%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +0.044%E +0.021%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -11.51%E -6.81%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-02 22:10
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -1.38%E -0.669%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.99%E -6.46%K -15.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-02 22:10
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -1.86%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -10.99%E -6.46%K -15.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-02 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -7.32%E -4.14%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 22:09
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.32%E -4.14%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 22:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.42%E -5.44%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 22:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.89%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-02 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.91%E -5.84%K -12.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.12%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 22:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.82%E -7.00%K -15.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 22:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.