Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley IronPigs v Columbus Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 15:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local)

Prediction 48.07%2.08fair odd
EV +0.475%
Edge +0.227%
Kelly +0.436%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%47.79%48.07%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0953.48%51.28%51.28%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 51.93%1.93fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.21%51.93%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.811.821.8758.48%55.31%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local): 48.07%; Columbus Clippers (Visit): 51.93%. For Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.475%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV +0.475%E +0.227%K +0.436%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -11.21%E -6.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.77%E -2.95%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.49%E -3.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 15:30
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.26%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.53%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 15:30
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -9.62%E -5.12%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -4.46%E -2.42%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 13:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.