The School of Odds
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Lehigh Valley IronPigs v Columbus Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local)

Prediction 45.66%2.19fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.50%45.91%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.052.052.1050.00%48.89%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 54.34%1.84fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%54.50%54.09%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.741.7559.88%57.95%57.47%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local): 45.66%; Columbus Clippers (Visit): 54.34%. For Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -4.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.08%E -4.14%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 13:49
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.25%E -5.54%K -13.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 13:45
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.94%E -2.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 11:29
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:54
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 14:47
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:49
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.08%E -4.14%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.