The School of Odds

Lehigh Valley IronPigs v Columbus Clippers

2026-07-11 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local)

Prediction 45.57%2.19fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.39%45.91%46.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.052.052.1050%49%49%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Columbus Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 54.43%1.84fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%54.61%54.09%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.741.7560%58%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 13:49
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 13:45
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -6.13%E -2.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 11:29
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:54
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:49
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.