Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley IronPigs v Buffalo Bisons

2026-07-31 22:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local)

Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd

EV -4.30%

Edge -2.06%

Kelly -3.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.00%46.18%45.91%48.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.922.042.052.0952.08%49.05%48.78%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 54.21%1.84fair odd

EV -1.88%

Edge -1.04%

Kelly -2.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.47%53.82%54.09%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.741.741.8158.82%57.51%57.47%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local): 45.79%; Buffalo Bisons (Visit): 54.21%. For Buffalo Bisons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.81, with an expected value of -1.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -4.30%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-31 16:35
FanDuel	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-31 16:59
theScore Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-31 16:49
Caesars	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-31 19:17
Bovada	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-31 18:26
William Hill	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-31 17:24
1xBet	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.36%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-31 17:48
BetRivers	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -12.08%E -6.29%K -13.13%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-31 19:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.