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Lehigh Valley IronPigs v Buffalo Bisons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Local)
Prediction 36.24%2.76fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.73%36.24%36.79%41.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.502.6544.44%40.52%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Buffalo Bisons (Visit)
Prediction 63.76%1.57fair odd
EV +0.749%
Edge +0.474%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.75%63.76%63.21%65.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.501.491.5870.92%66.76%67.11%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -18.47%E -8.21%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV +0.749%E +0.474%K +1.29%G +0.010% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 23:16 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.76%E -5.78%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.44%E -1.59%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -7.24%E -2.83%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 23:30 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.41%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.63%E -3.80%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -3.98%E -1.50%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -10.09%E -7.16%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.