The School of Odds

Las Vegas Aviators v Tacoma Rainiers

2026-07-12 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.85%53.19%53.05%53.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.761.761.7858%57%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.13%46.81%46.95%47.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0251%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 11:49
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 11:49
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 12:27
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 12:55
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.57%E -3.30%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 12:33
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 12:35
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:49
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.