The School of Odds

Las Vegas Aviators v Tacoma Rainiers

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -7.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.55%53.00%53.05%53.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.751.771.771.7857.14%56.54%56.50%56.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV -6.04%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -6.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.00%46.95%47.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.961.992.002.0051.02%50.22%50.00%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:04
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 20:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 15:04
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 15:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 16:47
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.92%E -4.04%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:35
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.