The School of Odds

Las Vegas Aviators v Tacoma Rainiers

2026-07-10 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 59.54%1.68fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -6.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.29%59.52%59.59%60.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.591.6164%63%63%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 40.46%2.47fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.48%40.41%41.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.302.4044%43%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 15:05
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 16:33
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.89%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 15:21
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.13%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 15:24
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 20:10
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.32%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 15:05
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-09 15:45
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.12%E -4.56%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.