The School of Odds
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Las Vegas Aviators v Tacoma Rainiers

2026-08-05 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 57.95%1.73fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -6.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%57.97%57.96%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.621.621.6562.11%61.61%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 42.05%2.38fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.03%42.04%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.222.202.3045.87%45.07%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 57.95%; Tacoma Rainiers (Visit): 42.05%. For Tacoma Rainiers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -3.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:09
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.80%E -2.59%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:45
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:54
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:44
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.80%E -2.59%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 14:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:55
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 14:46
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.33%E -3.82%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 16:24
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.33%E -3.82%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 15:50
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.