The School of Odds

Las Vegas Aviators v Tacoma Rainiers

2026-07-11 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 56.94%1.76fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -7.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%56.99%56.99%57.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.651.651.6762%61%60%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 43.06%2.32fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%43.01%43.01%43.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.142.182.182.2147%46%46%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 15:29
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 15:49
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 19:10
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.47%E -3.30%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.85%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 15:55
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -7.86%E -3.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 17:25
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 15:44
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 15:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.