Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

2026-08-28 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.80%45.30%44.88%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.092.1050.00%48.24%47.85%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.70%55.12%55.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.711.7759.88%58.33%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 44.92%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 55.08%. For Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -2.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.61%E -2.06%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 15:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.11%E -2.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.47%E -4.45%K -10.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-27 15:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.02%E -4.80%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-27 14:55
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.51%E -1.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.