Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

2026-08-30 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.74%53.21%53.05%54.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.771.8158.14%56.63%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%46.79%46.95%47.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0251.28%50.04%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 53.05%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 46.95%. For Las Vegas Aviators (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.81, with an expected value of -3.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:35
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.75%E -5.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.