The School of Odds
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Las Vegas Aviators v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

2026-08-27 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.04%45.91%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.052.0750.00%48.99%48.78%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -5.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%53.96%54.09%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.741.741.7758.48%57.43%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 45.92%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 54.08%. For Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -4.27%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 14:49
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 14:49
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 15:08
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 15:38
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.