Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

2026-08-26 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 57.13%1.75fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.19%57.12%57.14%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.651.7061.73%60.42%60.42%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 42.87%2.33fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%42.88%42.86%43.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.192.202.2146.51%45.66%45.45%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 57.13%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 42.87%. For Las Vegas Aviators (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.70, with an expected value of -2.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.88%E -1.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.54%E -3.00%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 16:35
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.59%E -2.75%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 15:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.59%E -2.75%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.16%E -3.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.73%E -3.48%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.73%E -3.48%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 15:18
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.45%E -4.60%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.45%E -4.60%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.54%E -3.00%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 20:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.