The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Las Vegas Aviators v Sacramento River Cats

2026-09-10 02:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.12%48.77%48.93%49.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.901.911.9353.76%52.55%52.36%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.82%51.23%51.07%51.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.821.831.8555.87%54.99%54.64%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 48.93%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 51.07%. For Sacramento River Cats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.85, with an expected value of -5.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 16:05
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:05
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:10
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -8.99%E -4.83%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.