The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Las Vegas Aviators v Round Rock Express

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 59.18%1.69fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -6.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.17%58.76%60.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.601.6264.94%62.50%62.31%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Round Rock Express (Visit)

Prediction 40.82%2.45fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.79%40.83%41.24%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.262.4045.45%43.96%44.15%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 59.18%; Round Rock Express (Visit): 40.82%. For Round Rock Express (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.14%E -2.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.14%E -2.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 14:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.14%E -2.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.19%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.73%E -2.94%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.92%E -3.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.92%E -3.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 14:50
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV -9.78%E -4.42%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 15:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.02%E -0.842%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.87%E -5.76%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-17 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.