The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Las Vegas Aviators v Round Rock Express

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 63.16%1.58fair odd
EV +2.32%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +3.75%
Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%62.52%62.50%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.6269.93%66.67%66.67%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Round Rock Express (Visit)

Prediction 36.84%2.71fair odd
EV -0.537%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.316%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%37.48%37.50%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.552.552.7044.64%39.28%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 63.16%; Round Rock Express (Visit): 36.84%. For Las Vegas Aviators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV +2.32%E +1.43%K +3.75%G +0.087%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -17.48%E -7.80%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 18:59
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 18:58
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.36%E -2.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.50%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.537%E -0.199%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 18:39
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.68%E -6.77%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -2.38%E -0.898%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-21 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.