Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators v Oklahoma City Comets

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 52.02%1.92fair odd
EV +0.399%
Edge +0.206%
Kelly +0.429%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.02%52.00%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.841.851.9358.48%54.42%53.91%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Comets (Visit)

Prediction 47.98%2.08fair odd
EV +0.758%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.689%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.98%48.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.902.1054.64%51.75%52.63%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 52.02%; Oklahoma City Comets (Visit): 47.98%. For Oklahoma City Comets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.758%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.758%E +0.361%K +0.689%G +0.005%6.1%2026-04-01 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:12
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.399%E +0.206%K +0.429%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -11.24%E -6.07%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.642%E -0.336%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.20%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 00:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.