The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Las Vegas Aviators v Oklahoma City Comets

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.35%54.08%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.711.741.7562.89%58.33%57.47%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Comets (Visit)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV +6.54%
Edge +2.82%
Kelly +4.95%
Growth +0.324%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%44.65%45.92%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.052.3250.00%48.18%48.78%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aviators (Local): 54.08%; Oklahoma City Comets (Visit): 45.92%. For Oklahoma City Comets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -14.01%E -8.81%K -23.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +6.54%E +2.82%K +4.95%G +0.324%6.0%2026-04-05 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.40%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 18:40
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 18:48
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:14
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.