The School of Odds

Las Vegas Aviators v El Paso Chihuahuas

2026-07-23 02:05 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 56.90%1.76fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -7.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.84%56.85%57.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.661.6762%60%60%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit)

Prediction 43.10%2.32fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%43.16%43.15%44.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2148%46%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 15:19
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 15:41
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 16:42
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.48%E -4.52%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 15:39
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 15:44
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -8.19%E -3.84%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 18:19
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.62%E -4.07%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.83%E -4.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.