The School of Odds

Las Vegas Aviators v El Paso Chihuahuas

2026-07-26 02:05 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Aviators (Local)

Prediction 50.71%1.97fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%51.63%51.06%57.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.631.791.801.9161%56%56%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit)

Prediction 49.29%2.03fair odd
EV +6.96%
Edge +3.21%
Kelly +5.95%
Growth +0.414%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%48.37%48.94%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.912.1755%51%52%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -17.34%E -10.64%K -27.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV +6.96%E +3.21%K +5.95%G +0.414%7.4%2026-07-25 17:09
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -15.32%E -9.17%K -22.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.98%E +2.78%K +5.20%G +0.310%6.4%2026-07-25 19:39
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -13.29%E -7.77%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV +0.553%E +0.271%K +0.532%G +0.003%7.5%2026-07-25 19:49
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.19%E -3.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 19:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.20%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.85%E -3.07%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 19:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.72%E -4.85%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.85%E -3.07%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 19:40
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.83%E -4.19%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 19:37
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.72%E -4.85%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.83%E -4.19%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 19:45
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.80%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (4 combinations) +1.59%BetOnline.ag 1.91 (53.2%) / BetRivers 2.17 (46.8%)Show all 4 combinations
Las Vegas Aviators (Local)El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit)Margin
BetOnline.ag 1.91 (53.2%)BetRivers 2.17 (46.8%)+1.59%
BetOnline.ag 1.91 (53.0%)Bovada 2.15 (47.0%)+1.15%
Caesars 1.87 (53.7%)BetRivers 2.17 (46.3%)+0.443%
Caesars 1.87 (53.5%)Bovada 2.15 (46.5%)+0.012%