The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 51.33%1.95fair odd
EV +0.085%
Edge +0.044%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%52.37%49.06%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.851.901.9562.89%54.13%52.49%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 48.67%2.05fair odd
EV +12.92%
Edge +5.57%
Kelly +9.79%
Growth +1.27%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%47.63%50.94%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.832.3255.56%52.05%54.79%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local): 51.33%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 48.67%. For Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -18.39%E -11.57%K -31.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +12.92%E +5.57%K +9.79%G +1.27%6.0%2026-04-03 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.26%E -7.85%K -19.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +4.65%E +2.16%K +4.04%G +0.188%5.7%2026-04-03 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -0.428%E -0.221%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 23:00
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.97%E -1.03%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:27
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 22:59
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.085%E +0.044%K +0.089%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.39%E -6.88%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 15:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.97%E -1.03%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.39%E -6.88%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.